Set vs Flush Draw: The Set Is a Bigger Favorite Than You Think
Set versus flush draw is the classic “made hand against draw” flop battle, and this version has a detail most players miss: one of the flush outs is already used up. Here is the full picture. Matchup Set wins Flush draw wins Ties 7h 7d vs Ah Kh on 7c 2h 9h 75.3% 24.7% 0.0% The matchup, defined A set is three of a kind made with a pocket pair plus one board card. A flush draw here means two suited hole cards plus two suited board cards, four of the suit in total across hand and board, waiting for a fifth to complete the flush. ...