Gutshot vs Open-Ended Straight Draw: Outs and Odds

Gutshot vs Open-Ended Straight Draw: Outs and Odds

A gutshot straight draw has four outs; an open-ended straight draw has eight. By the river those are 16.47% and 31.45%, roughly double, and both sit in the same poker odds chart rather than in separate tables. Why one rank produces four cards A gutshot is a draw completed by a single rank. Four cards of that rank are still unseen, so the out count is four. The shape matters because the count is fixed by the number of completing ranks, not by which cards a player holds or by where the gap sits inside the sequence. One rank always means the same four cards. ...

November 10, 2026 · 3 min
Open-Ended Straight Draw vs Overpair: Exact Numbers

Open-Ended Straight Draw vs Overpair: Exact Numbers

Most matchup numbers online come from simulations. This page goes one step further: the hand below has few enough unknowns that every possible runout can be checked exactly, one by one. Here is the open-ended straight draw against the overpair, enumerated. Matchup Straight draw wins Overpair wins Ties Tc Jd vs As Ac on Qh 9s 4c 34.2% 65.8% 0.0% The matchup, defined An open-ended straight draw is four cards in rank sequence that can complete at either end. An overpair is a pocket pair higher than the board’s top card. ...

November 2, 2026 · 4 min
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